oren — 10/4/2024, 8:34:47 PM

I guess this wasn’t really a prediction because I didn’t say the winner. I think Trump will probably win.

↩ repost
oren — 10/4/2024, 5:58:35 PM

This is my prediction for the US Presidential election. I think Trump has a lead on average, as the polls have always been skewed Democratic. A tied race in the polls means a Trump lead in reality.

However, I think the hurricane will have a massive impact on the races in NC and Georgia, which coincidentally are the key states to win. It hit the most strongly Republican parts of both states and I think it will cut turnout in those areas.

Based on my prediction, Trump has to win both of those states to win overall. Harris can win only a single one of those and still win overall.

Also, forget Pennsylvania, NC will be the key state.

If you forced me to guess, I’d say Georgia will go to Trump and NC will be a complete coin flip.

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comments

bwah:

Bruh honestly both candidates suck imo

Why can’t we have better options 😭

10/4/2024, 10:31:32 PM
bwah:

I hate that I can’t vote yet

10/4/2024, 10:32:18 PM
oren:

I’ll be able to vote in the next midterms

10/4/2024, 11:24:07 PM
bwah:

Oooh

10/4/2024, 11:24:23 PM
oren:

Yeah

10/4/2024, 11:24:15 PM
stareye:

tragic

10/4/2024, 9:50:50 PM
geo:

american politics continues to confuse me

10/4/2024, 9:04:34 PM
owl:

Don't worry it confuses us too

10/5/2024, 3:08:26 AM
oren:

Yeah

10/5/2024, 1:26:19 PM
cheesewhisk3rs:

Nooo

10/4/2024, 8:42:41 PM
oren:

It is indeed unfortunate

10/4/2024, 8:56:49 PM
cheesewhisk3rs:

Yeah the USA shouldn’t have a president who has said 30,000+ lies

10/4/2024, 9:04:01 PM
oren:

Yeah

10/4/2024, 11:24:24 PM